Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AC Milan U20 beat Catanzaro U19 2-1 in Primavera Cup.
Match decisions & VAR
46'Penalty awardedAC Milan U20Decision
74'Penalty awardedCatanzaro U19Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AC Milan U20 won 2-1.
Story
AC Milan U20 vs Catanzaro U19: the story of the match
45' — AC Milan U20 took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
75' — Catanzaro U19 equalised: 1-1. 82' — AC Milan U20 went back in front: 2-1. AC Milan U20 won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC Milan U20DrawCatanzaro U19
Pre-match model estimate: AC Milan U20 56%, draw 22%, Catanzaro U19 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AC Milan U20 win in 56% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Catanzaro U19 win 22%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
