Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield Town: the story of the match
22' — Mansfield Town took the lead: 1-0. Nathan Moriah-Welsh scored it. Half time: 1-0.
72' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 2-0. Rhys Oates scored it. 90' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 3-0. Jordan Bowery scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Mansfield Town won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Mansfield TownDrawMacclesfield Town
Pre-match model estimate: Mansfield Town 68%, draw 18%, Macclesfield Town 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mansfield Town win in 68% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Macclesfield Town win 14%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Mansfield Town took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to Nathan Moriah-Welsh. Mansfield Town led 1-0 at the break.
Mansfield Town extended their lead to 2-0 in the 72nd minute: Rhys Oates. Jordan Bowery made it 3-0 for Mansfield Town after 90 minutes.
The statistics
Mansfield Town had 7 shots (4 on target) to Macclesfield Town's 5 (4). Corners finished 9-5. Dangerous attacks: 198 for Mansfield Town, 156 for Macclesfield Town.
The bigger picture
Macclesfield Town's run of 10 matches with a goal comes to an end. Mansfield Town beat Macclesfield Town for the first time since 2019.
FA Cup
