Most likely score: 2-0 (15%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cote d'Ivoire (79%).
Model estimate
Our own statistical model's estimate — a probability, not a certainty. How is this calculated? →
Cote d'Ivoire have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Cote d'Ivoire's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Gambia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Gambia have scored in 11 matches in a row. 8 of Gambia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
In their last 4 meetings, Cote d'Ivoire won 4, 0 ended level and Gambia won 0.
Our pre-match model estimate: Cote d'Ivoire 79%, draw 14%, Gambia 7%.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cote d'Ivoire win in 79% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and Gambia win 7%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (15%); both teams score in 39%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
The Gambia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. The Gambia have found the net in 11 straight games. Goals have flowed in the Gambia's games: 8 of the last 10 produced at least three.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
