Granada (Wom) vs Atletico Madrid (Wom): the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
54' — Atletico Madrid (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. Rosa Otermín scored it. 85' — Granada (Wom) equalised: 1-1. Naiara Sanmartín scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Granada (Wom)DrawAtletico Madrid (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Granada (Wom) 21%, draw 22%, Atletico Madrid (Wom) 57%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Granada (Wom) win in 21% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Atletico Madrid (Wom) win 57%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Granada (Wom) – Atletico Madrid (Wom) match report
It was Granada (Wom) 0-0 Atletico Madrid (Wom) at half-time.
Atletico Madrid (Wom) took the lead on 54 minutes thanks to Rosa Otermín. Late on, in the 85th minute, Granada (Wom) drew level at 1-1 through Naiara Sanmartín.
The statistics
The shot count read 1-8, 1-5 on target. Corners finished 1-7.
The bigger picture
The result ends Atletico Madrid (Wom)'s run of 3 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 8 wins for Atletico Madrid (Wom) and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
