Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Ghana and Somalia meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Venue: Ohene Djan Stadium.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Ghana (90%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
90%
Ghana90%Draw8%Somalia2%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Ghana vs Somalia: preview
Ghana have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. Ghana have not won in 6 matches. 3 of Ghana's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Somalia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Somalia have lost 3 matches in a row. 4 of Somalia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Ghana 90%, draw 8%, Somalia 2%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ghana win in 90% of the simulated matches, 8% end level and Somalia win 2%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (18%); both teams score in 24%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ghana have not won any of their last 5 matches (5 defeats). Ghana are winless in 6. Across 10 matches, Ghana have scored 0.6 and let in 1.6 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, Somalia have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Somalia come in on a run of 3 straight defeats. Somalia average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
