Fortuna Sittard vs SC Telstar: the story of the match
15' — Fortuna Sittard took the lead: 1-0. Mohamed Ihattaren scored from the penalty spot. 41' — Fortuna Sittard extended the lead: 2-0. An own goal by Sem Valk. 45' — SC Telstar pulled one back: 2-1. Abdelnour Soualhia scored it. 45' — SC Telstar equalised: 2-2. Patrick Brouwer scored it. Half time: 2-2.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Fortuna Sittard win in 38% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and SC Telstar win 38%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Fortuna Sittard took the lead in the 15th minute: Mohamed Ihattaren from the penalty spot. Fortuna Sittard extended their lead to 2-0 on 41 minutes thanks to an own goal from Sem Valk. Fortuna Sittard had a goal ruled out in the 43rd minute. SC Telstar pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes thanks to Abdelnour Soualhia, set up by Patrick Brouwer. SC Telstar drew level at 2-2 in the 45th minute: Patrick Brouwer.
It was Fortuna Sittard 2-2 SC Telstar at half-time.
The statistics
Fortuna Sittard had 9 shots (4 on target) to SC Telstar's 11 (9). Fortuna Sittard won 4 corners, SC Telstar 4.
What the result means
Fortuna Sittard drop from 6th to 7th on 20 points. SC Telstar stay 16th on 10 points. Fortuna Sittard extend their unbeaten run to 8 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 5 wins for SC Telstar and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
