Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Feignies Aulnoye FC beat FC Borgo 1-0 in National 1.
Venue: Complexe Sportif Didier Eloy.
Match details
Venue
Complexe Sportif Didier Eloy, Feignies
Coaches
– · M. D'Amore
Match decisions & VAR
50'Red cardFC BorgoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Feignies Aulnoye FC won 1-0.
Story
Feignies Aulnoye FC vs FC Borgo: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — FC Borgo had a player sent off. 84' — Feignies Aulnoye FC took the lead: 1-0. Feignies Aulnoye FC won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Feignies Aulnoye FCDrawFC Borgo
Pre-match model estimate: Feignies Aulnoye FC 53%, draw 24%, FC Borgo 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Feignies Aulnoye FC win in 53% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Borgo win 23%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.