Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Tirsense beat CDC Montalegre 2-1 in Campeonato de Portugal.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Tirsense won 2-1.
Story
FC Tirsense vs CDC Montalegre: the story of the match
FC Tirsense started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 38' — FC Tirsense took the lead: 1-0. 42' — FC Tirsense extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0, with FC Tirsense applying more of the pressure.
59' — CDC Montalegre pulled one back: 2-1. After 46' the momentum swung to CDC Montalegre. After 76' the momentum swung to FC Tirsense. FC Tirsense won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC TirsenseDrawCDC Montalegre
Pre-match model estimate: FC Tirsense 53%, draw 26%, CDC Montalegre 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC TirsenseCDC Montalegre
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min022
Last 15 min3751
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Tirsense win in 53% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CDC Montalegre win 21%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 5.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 2-1 home win for FC Tirsense against CDC Montalegre in the Campeonato de Portugal. The half-time score was 2-0.
The story of the match
The early pressure came from FC Tirsense, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. FC Tirsense took the lead on 38 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (42') FC Tirsense extended their lead to 2-0. FC Tirsense led 2-0 at the break.
CDC Montalegre took over after the 46th minute, pinning FC Tirsense back. CDC Montalegre pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 59 minutes. From the 76th minute the pressure shifted towards FC Tirsense.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-3, 2-1 on target. FC Tirsense won 5 corners, CDC Montalegre 6. FC Tirsense produced 117 dangerous attacks to CDC Montalegre's 86.
What the result means
FC Tirsense end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
