Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Elva beat Nomme United U21 2-1 in Esiliiga.
Venue: Nike Arena.
In our records FC Elva and Nomme United U21 have met 3 times: FC Elva won 1, 0 ended level and Nomme United U21 won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Nomme United U21 0-1 FC Elva.
Match details
Venue
Nike Arena, Elva
Match decisions & VAR
24'Goal disallowedNomme United U21Decision · Score 0-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Elva won 2-1.
Story
FC Elva vs Nomme United U21: the story of the match
36' — Nomme United U21 took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
64' — FC Elva equalised: 1-1. 69' — FC Elva completed the turnaround: 2-1. FC Elva won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC ElvaDrawNomme United U21
Pre-match model estimate: FC Elva 45%, draw 22%, Nomme United U21 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Elva win in 45% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Nomme United U21 win 33%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Nomme United U21 goal on 24 minutes. Nomme United U21 took the lead on 36 minutes. It was FC Elva 0-1 Nomme United U21 at half-time.
FC Elva drew level at 1-1 on 64 minutes. FC Elva completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 69 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-5, from 7 and 8 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-5. FC Elva's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
The bigger picture
FC Elva remain 5th, now with 54 points. Nomme United U21 stay 8th on 39 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for FC Elva. Nomme United U21 have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
