FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
70' — FC Cincinnati took the lead: 1-0. Ayoub Jabbari scored it. FC Cincinnati won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
Pre-match model estimate: FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Cincinnati win in 41% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Philadelphia Union win 37%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 66%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Cincinnati kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Philadelphia Union in MLS. It was 0-0 at half-time. The attendance at TQL Stadium was 24,013.
How the match unfolded
It was FC Cincinnati 0-0 Philadelphia Union at half-time.
FC Cincinnati took the lead in the 70th minute: Ayoub Jabbari.
The statistics
The shot count read 4-10, 3-6 on target. Corners finished 3-12. FC Cincinnati's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 185 for Philadelphia Union, 83 for FC Cincinnati.
What the result means
FC Cincinnati are now unbeaten in 4 matches. The wait for a win goes on for Philadelphia Union: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
