Erbil SC and Al Gharraf SC drew 1-1 in Stars League.
Venue: Franso Hariri Stadium.
In our records Erbil SC and Al Gharraf SC have met 2 times: Erbil SC won 1, 1 ended level and Al Gharraf SC won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Al Gharraf SC 0-0 Erbil SC.
Match details
Venue
Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Erbil SC vs Al Gharraf SC: the story of the match
Half time: 1-0.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Erbil SCDrawAl Gharraf SC
Pre-match model estimate: Erbil SC 61%, draw 23%, Al Gharraf SC 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Erbil SC win in 61% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Al Gharraf SC win 16%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Erbil SC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Al Gharraf SC extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Erbil SC and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.