Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
San Marcos FC Los Canarios beat CD Walter Ferretti 2-1 in Liga Primera.
Match decisions & VAR
45'Penalty awardedSan Marcos FC Los CanariosDecision
46'Review overSan Marcos FC Los CanariosVAR review · incidentDecision
59'Red cardSan Marcos FC Los CanariosDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: San Marcos FC Los Canarios won 1-2.
Story
CD Walter Ferretti vs San Marcos FC Los Canarios: the story of the match
45' — San Marcos FC Los Canarios took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
49' — CD Walter Ferretti equalised: 1-1. 59' — San Marcos FC Los Canarios had a player sent off. 90' — San Marcos FC Los Canarios went back in front: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. San Marcos FC Los Canarios won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Walter FerrettiDrawSan Marcos FC Los Canarios
Pre-match model estimate: CD Walter Ferretti 62%, draw 20%, San Marcos FC Los Canarios 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Walter Ferretti win in 62% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and San Marcos FC Los Canarios win 18%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Walter Ferretti – San Marcos FC Los Canarios match report
San Marcos FC Los Canarios took the lead on 45 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, San Marcos FC Los Canarios in front.
Just 4 minutes later (49') CD Walter Ferretti drew level at 1-1. San Marcos FC Los Canarios had a player sent off on 59 minutes. San Marcos FC Los Canarios went 2-1 up on 90 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-9.
What it means
CD Walter Ferretti remain 5th, now with 21 points. San Marcos FC Los Canarios stay 8th on 15 points. CD Walter Ferretti's 4-match unbeaten run is over. A 6-game wait for victory is over for San Marcos FC Los Canarios.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
