CD Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon: the story of the match
37' — CD Guijuelo took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Pablo Vázquez. Half time: 1-0.
61' — Sporting Gijon equalised: 1-1. Juan Otero scored it. 62' — Sporting Gijon completed the turnaround: 1-2. Enol Prendes scored it. 90' — Sporting Gijon extended the lead: 1-3. Miguel Conde scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Sporting Gijon won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD GuijueloDrawSporting Gijon
Pre-match model estimate: CD Guijuelo 13%, draw 20%, Sporting Gijon 67%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Guijuelo win in 13% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Sporting Gijon win 67%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Guijuelo took the lead on 37 minutes thanks to an own goal from Pablo Vázquez. Half-time: 1-0, CD Guijuelo in front.
Sporting Gijon drew level at 1-1 in the 61st minute: Juan Otero. Sporting Gijon completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 62 minutes thanks to Enol Prendes. Sporting Gijon extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: Miguel Conde.
The statistics
CD Guijuelo won 5 corners, Sporting Gijon 7.
What the result means
The result ends CD Guijuelo's run of 3 straight wins.
Next fixtures
Sporting Gijon's next match is away to Real Sociedad B on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
