33' — Always Ready took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Omar Preciado. 45' — Club ABB equalised: 1-1. Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego scored it. Half time: 1-1.
78' — Club ABB completed the turnaround: 1-2. Gary Rea scored it. 82' — Always Ready equalised: 2-2. Enrique Triverio scored it. 87' — Always Ready completed the turnaround: 3-2. Carmelo Algarañaz scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — Gary Rea of Club ABB was sent off. Always Ready won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Always ReadyDrawClub ABB
Pre-match model estimate: Always Ready 85%, draw 10%, Club ABB 5%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Always Ready win in 85% of the simulated matches, 10% end level and Club ABB win 5%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 3-0 (10%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 30%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Always Ready took the lead on 33 minutes thanks to an own goal from Omar Preciado. Club ABB drew level at 1-1 in the 45th minute: Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego. The first half ended 1-1.
Club ABB completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 78th minute: Gary Rea, set up by Freddy Abastoflor. Always Ready drew level at 2-2 in the 82nd minute: Enrique Triverio. Always Ready completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 87th minute: Carmelo Algarañaz. Club ABB had a player sent off on 89 minutes: Gary Rea.
What the numbers say
Always Ready had 11 shots (7 on target) to Club ABB's 6 (6). Corners finished 7-5. Dangerous attacks: 55 for Always Ready, 36 for Club ABB.
The bigger picture
Always Ready remain 2nd, now with 57 points. Club ABB slip to 15th (20 points), having started the day 14th. That is 4 straight wins for Always Ready. Club ABB have lost 6 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
